World Cup Winner Odds
Live championship odds from Polymarket — every team ranked by its market-implied chance to lift the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Odds refresh roughly every 30 minutes.
Spain are the current favourites to win the 2026 World Cup with a 17% market-implied chance, ahead of France at 16% and Portugal at 11%.
- 1Spain17%x5.97
- 2France16%x6.23
- 3Portugal11%x9.48
- 4England10%x10.36
- 5Brazil8%x11.98
- 6Argentina8%x12.74
- 7Germany5%x19.42
- 8Netherlands5%x19.80
- 9Norway3%x39.22
- 10Belgium2%x48.78
- 11United States2%x51.28
- 12Japan2%x51.28
- 13Switzerland2%x60.61
- 14Colombia2%x60.61
- 15Morocco2%x64.52
- 16Mexico1%x74.07
- 17Uruguay1%x117.65
- 18Ecuador1%x117.65
- 19Croatia1%x117.65
- 20Senegal1%x153.85
- 21South Korea0%x222.22
- 22Ivory Coast0%x285.71
- 23Austria0%x285.71
- 24Canada0%x400.00
- 25Scotland0%x400.00
- 26Sweden0%x400.00
- 27Iran0%x666.67
- 28Ghana0%x666.67
- 29Algeria0%x666.67
- 30Paraguay0%x666.67
- 31Czechia0%x666.67
- 32Australia0%x666.67
- 33Egypt0%x666.67
- 34New Zealand0%x2000.00
- 35Haiti0%x2000.00
- 36Jordan0%x2000.00
- 37Curaçao0%x2000.00
- 38Tunisia0%x2000.00
- 39Uzbekistan0%x2000.00
- 40Panama0%x2000.00
- 41Iraq0%x2000.00
- 42South Africa0%x2000.00
- 43Cape Verde0%x2000.00
- 44Qatar0%x2000.00
- 45Saudi Arabia0%x2000.00
Each team's odds come from an independent Polymarket market, so the figures reflect the vig and do not sum to 100%.
Think you've spotted the winner?
Open the live championship market on Polymarket and back your pick.
Open winner market ↗Frequently asked questions
Q. Who is favourite to win the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are the favourites at 17%, followed by France (16%) and Portugal (11%), based on live Polymarket odds.
Q. How are these World Cup winner odds calculated?
Each percentage is the market-implied probability from that team's 'Will they win the World Cup?' market on Polymarket. The payout multiplier is 1 divided by that probability, and odds update roughly every 30 minutes.